NFL Forecasts

Every game and market, sorted by how likely the model thinks each outcome is. Confidence = forecast probability × 100.

BETTING LAYER INACTIVE — tiers are research artifacts, not forecast confidence. Validation on 2,095 games found model–market disagreement is not a usable betting signal.
Last updated2026-09-15 13:06 UTC
Model versionNFL-v1.1 (code code-99b3fb4892a9)
Slate2026 Week 2
Forecasts48 (16 games x 3 markets)
Data completenessavg 99%, min 90% (9/12 sources OK; degraded: odds_api, weather, vsin_splits)
Odds sourceodds_api LIVE (16/16 games, snapshot 0.02h old)
LV @ LAC TOTAL
UNDER 43.5
FORECAST 83.9%
84
CONFIDENCE
LINE43.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+33.9%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
LV @ LAC MONEYLINE
LAC ML
FORECAST 79.9%
80
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-325
MARKET73.4%
VS MARKET+6.5%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
WAS @ DAL TOTAL
OVER 50.5
FORECAST 76.1%
76
CONFIDENCE
LINE50.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.6%
VS MARKET+26.5%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data; retractable roof unresolved
PIT @ NE MONEYLINE
NE ML
FORECAST 75.1%
75
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-235
MARKET67.4%
VS MARKET+7.6%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
MIA @ SF MONEYLINE
SF ML
FORECAST 74.6%
75
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-900
MARKET86.7%
VS MARKET-12.1%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
MIN @ CHI TOTAL
UNDER 49.5
FORECAST 74.4%
74
CONFIDENCE
LINE49.5
PRICE-114
MARKET50.9%
VS MARKET+23.5%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
CAR @ ATL SPREAD
ATL +1.5
FORECAST 74.3%
74
CONFIDENCE
LINE+1.5
PRICE-112
MARKET50.4%
VS MARKET+23.9%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data; no weather forecast (outdoor venue); retractable roof unresolved
CAR @ ATL MONEYLINE
ATL ML
FORECAST 72.3%
72
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE+100
MARKET47.8%
VS MARKET+24.5%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data; no weather forecast (outdoor venue); retractable roof unresolved
NYG @ LA MONEYLINE
LA ML
FORECAST 71.5%
72
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-355
MARKET74.8%
VS MARKET-3.3%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (NYG ML)
PHI @ TEN MONEYLINE
PHI ML
FORECAST 70.6%
71
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-325
MARKET73.9%
VS MARKET-3.3%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (TEN ML)
NO @ BAL MONEYLINE
BAL ML
FORECAST 69.0%
69
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-450
MARKET78.3%
VS MARKET-9.3%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (NO ML)
CLE @ TB MONEYLINE
TB ML
FORECAST 66.8%
67
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-450
MARKET78.3%
VS MARKET-11.5%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (CLE ML)
NO @ BAL TOTAL
UNDER 47.0
FORECAST 65.4%
65
CONFIDENCE
LINE47
PRICE-105
MARKET49.2%
VS MARKET+16.1%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
MIA @ SF SPREAD
MIA +13.5
FORECAST 63.1%
63
CONFIDENCE
LINE+13.5
PRICE-115
MARKET51.1%
VS MARKET+12.0%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
IND @ KC SPREAD
IND +6.5
FORECAST 63.0%
63
CONFIDENCE
LINE+6.5
PRICE-110
MARKET49.2%
VS MARKET+13.8%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
MIN @ CHI SPREAD
MIN +5.5
FORECAST 62.3%
62
CONFIDENCE
LINE+5.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+12.3%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
CIN @ HOU MONEYLINE
HOU ML
FORECAST 61.6%
62
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-152
MARKET57.9%
VS MARKET+3.7%
TIER SILVER · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
CLE @ TB SPREAD
CLE +8.5
FORECAST 60.9%
61
CONFIDENCE
LINE+8.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+10.6%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
LV @ LAC SPREAD
LAC -7
FORECAST 60.6%
61
CONFIDENCE
LINE-7
PRICE-105
MARKET49.2%
VS MARKET+11.3%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
GB @ NYJ SPREAD
NYJ +3.5
FORECAST 60.5%
60
CONFIDENCE
LINE+3.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.8%
VS MARKET+10.7%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
JAX @ DEN TOTAL
UNDER 44.5
FORECAST 60.0%
60
CONFIDENCE
LINE44.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+9.8%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
WAS @ DAL SPREAD
WAS +3.5
FORECAST 59.8%
60
CONFIDENCE
LINE+3.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.6%
VS MARKET+10.3%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
PIT @ NE SPREAD
NE -5.5
FORECAST 59.7%
60
CONFIDENCE
LINE-5.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+9.7%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
DET @ BUF MONEYLINE
BUF ML
FORECAST 59.0%
59
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-220
MARKET65.8%
VS MARKET-6.8%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (DET ML)
SEA @ ARI MONEYLINE
SEA ML
FORECAST 58.6%
59
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-225
MARKET66.4%
VS MARKET-7.8%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved; value side differs from model prediction (ARI ML)
NO @ BAL SPREAD
NO +8.5
FORECAST 58.5%
58
CONFIDENCE
LINE+8.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+8.2%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
PIT @ NE TOTAL
OVER 42.5
FORECAST 58.0%
58
CONFIDENCE
LINE42.5
PRICE-105
MARKET48.9%
VS MARKET+9.1%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
DET @ BUF TOTAL
OVER 53.5
FORECAST 57.5%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE53.5
PRICE-115
MARKET51.1%
VS MARKET+6.4%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
JAX @ DEN MONEYLINE
DEN ML
FORECAST 57.4%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-135
MARKET55.1%
VS MARKET+2.3%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE
IND @ KC MONEYLINE
KC ML
FORECAST 57.1%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-305
MARKET72.5%
VS MARKET-15.4%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
GB @ NYJ TOTAL
OVER 44.5
FORECAST 56.9%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE44.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+6.7%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
CLE @ TB TOTAL
UNDER 40.5
FORECAST 56.9%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE40.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.6%
VS MARKET+7.3%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
NYG @ LA TOTAL
OVER 48.5
FORECAST 56.8%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE48.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.6%
VS MARKET+7.2%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
SEA @ ARI SPREAD
ARI +4.5
FORECAST 56.4%
56
CONFIDENCE
LINE+4.5
PRICE-112
MARKET50.8%
VS MARKET+5.6%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
CAR @ ATL TOTAL
OVER 44.0
FORECAST 56.4%
56
CONFIDENCE
LINE44
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+6.4%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE no weather forecast (outdoor venue); retractable roof unresolved
DET @ BUF SPREAD
DET +4.5
FORECAST 56.0%
56
CONFIDENCE
LINE+4.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+6.0%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
MIA @ SF TOTAL
OVER 45.5
FORECAST 55.6%
56
CONFIDENCE
LINE45.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.8%
VS MARKET+5.8%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
PHI @ TEN TOTAL
OVER 39.5
FORECAST 54.6%
55
CONFIDENCE
LINE39.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+4.3%
TIER SILVER · INACTIVE
MIN @ CHI MONEYLINE
CHI ML
FORECAST 54.4%
54
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-238
MARKET67.9%
VS MARKET-13.5%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
IND @ KC TOTAL
UNDER 47.5
FORECAST 54.1%
54
CONFIDENCE
LINE47.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+3.9%
TIER SILVER · INACTIVE
CIN @ HOU TOTAL
UNDER 46.5
FORECAST 53.1%
53
CONFIDENCE
LINE46.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.8%
VS MARKET+3.3%
TIER SILVER · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
CIN @ HOU SPREAD
HOU -3
FORECAST 53.1%
53
CONFIDENCE
LINE-3
PRICE-105
MARKET48.9%
VS MARKET+4.1%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
WAS @ DAL MONEYLINE
DAL ML
FORECAST 52.5%
52
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-215
MARKET65.6%
VS MARKET-13.2%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
JAX @ DEN SPREAD
DEN -2.5
FORECAST 52.4%
52
CONFIDENCE
LINE-2.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+2.4%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE
GB @ NYJ MONEYLINE
GB ML
FORECAST 51.8%
52
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-205
MARKET64.5%
VS MARKET-12.6%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
PHI @ TEN SPREAD
TEN +7
FORECAST 51.6%
52
CONFIDENCE
LINE+7
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+1.6%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE
NYG @ LA SPREAD
NYG +7
FORECAST 50.5%
51
CONFIDENCE
LINE+7
PRICE-105
MARKET49.2%
VS MARKET+1.3%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
SEA @ ARI TOTAL
OVER 41.5
FORECAST 50.1%
50
CONFIDENCE
LINE41.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.8%
VS MARKET+0.3%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
LV @ LAC MONEYLINE
LAC ML
FORECAST 79.9%
80
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-325
MARKET73.4%
VS MARKET+6.5%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
PIT @ NE MONEYLINE
NE ML
FORECAST 75.1%
75
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-235
MARKET67.4%
VS MARKET+7.6%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
MIA @ SF MONEYLINE
SF ML
FORECAST 74.6%
75
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-900
MARKET86.7%
VS MARKET-12.1%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
CAR @ ATL MONEYLINE
ATL ML
FORECAST 72.3%
72
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE+100
MARKET47.8%
VS MARKET+24.5%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data; no weather forecast (outdoor venue); retractable roof unresolved
NYG @ LA MONEYLINE
LA ML
FORECAST 71.5%
72
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-355
MARKET74.8%
VS MARKET-3.3%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (NYG ML)
PHI @ TEN MONEYLINE
PHI ML
FORECAST 70.6%
71
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-325
MARKET73.9%
VS MARKET-3.3%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (TEN ML)
NO @ BAL MONEYLINE
BAL ML
FORECAST 69.0%
69
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-450
MARKET78.3%
VS MARKET-9.3%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (NO ML)
CLE @ TB MONEYLINE
TB ML
FORECAST 66.8%
67
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-450
MARKET78.3%
VS MARKET-11.5%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (CLE ML)
CIN @ HOU MONEYLINE
HOU ML
FORECAST 61.6%
62
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-152
MARKET57.9%
VS MARKET+3.7%
TIER SILVER · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
DET @ BUF MONEYLINE
BUF ML
FORECAST 59.0%
59
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-220
MARKET65.8%
VS MARKET-6.8%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE value side differs from model prediction (DET ML)
SEA @ ARI MONEYLINE
SEA ML
FORECAST 58.6%
59
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-225
MARKET66.4%
VS MARKET-7.8%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved; value side differs from model prediction (ARI ML)
JAX @ DEN MONEYLINE
DEN ML
FORECAST 57.4%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-135
MARKET55.1%
VS MARKET+2.3%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE
IND @ KC MONEYLINE
KC ML
FORECAST 57.1%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-305
MARKET72.5%
VS MARKET-15.4%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
MIN @ CHI MONEYLINE
CHI ML
FORECAST 54.4%
54
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-238
MARKET67.9%
VS MARKET-13.5%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
WAS @ DAL MONEYLINE
DAL ML
FORECAST 52.5%
52
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-215
MARKET65.6%
VS MARKET-13.2%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
GB @ NYJ MONEYLINE
GB ML
FORECAST 51.8%
52
CONFIDENCE
LINE-
PRICE-205
MARKET64.5%
VS MARKET-12.6%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
CAR @ ATL SPREAD
ATL +1.5
FORECAST 74.3%
74
CONFIDENCE
LINE+1.5
PRICE-112
MARKET50.4%
VS MARKET+23.9%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data; no weather forecast (outdoor venue); retractable roof unresolved
MIA @ SF SPREAD
MIA +13.5
FORECAST 63.1%
63
CONFIDENCE
LINE+13.5
PRICE-115
MARKET51.1%
VS MARKET+12.0%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
IND @ KC SPREAD
IND +6.5
FORECAST 63.0%
63
CONFIDENCE
LINE+6.5
PRICE-110
MARKET49.2%
VS MARKET+13.8%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
MIN @ CHI SPREAD
MIN +5.5
FORECAST 62.3%
62
CONFIDENCE
LINE+5.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+12.3%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
CLE @ TB SPREAD
CLE +8.5
FORECAST 60.9%
61
CONFIDENCE
LINE+8.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+10.6%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
LV @ LAC SPREAD
LAC -7
FORECAST 60.6%
61
CONFIDENCE
LINE-7
PRICE-105
MARKET49.2%
VS MARKET+11.3%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
GB @ NYJ SPREAD
NYJ +3.5
FORECAST 60.5%
60
CONFIDENCE
LINE+3.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.8%
VS MARKET+10.7%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
WAS @ DAL SPREAD
WAS +3.5
FORECAST 59.8%
60
CONFIDENCE
LINE+3.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.6%
VS MARKET+10.3%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
PIT @ NE SPREAD
NE -5.5
FORECAST 59.7%
60
CONFIDENCE
LINE-5.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+9.7%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
NO @ BAL SPREAD
NO +8.5
FORECAST 58.5%
58
CONFIDENCE
LINE+8.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+8.2%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
SEA @ ARI SPREAD
ARI +4.5
FORECAST 56.4%
56
CONFIDENCE
LINE+4.5
PRICE-112
MARKET50.8%
VS MARKET+5.6%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
DET @ BUF SPREAD
DET +4.5
FORECAST 56.0%
56
CONFIDENCE
LINE+4.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+6.0%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
CIN @ HOU SPREAD
HOU -3
FORECAST 53.1%
53
CONFIDENCE
LINE-3
PRICE-105
MARKET48.9%
VS MARKET+4.1%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
JAX @ DEN SPREAD
DEN -2.5
FORECAST 52.4%
52
CONFIDENCE
LINE-2.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+2.4%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE
PHI @ TEN SPREAD
TEN +7
FORECAST 51.6%
52
CONFIDENCE
LINE+7
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+1.6%
TIER BRONZE · INACTIVE
NYG @ LA SPREAD
NYG +7
FORECAST 50.5%
51
CONFIDENCE
LINE+7
PRICE-105
MARKET49.2%
VS MARKET+1.3%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE
LV @ LAC TOTAL
UNDER 43.5
FORECAST 83.9%
84
CONFIDENCE
LINE43.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+33.9%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
WAS @ DAL TOTAL
OVER 50.5
FORECAST 76.1%
76
CONFIDENCE
LINE50.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.6%
VS MARKET+26.5%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data; retractable roof unresolved
MIN @ CHI TOTAL
UNDER 49.5
FORECAST 74.4%
74
CONFIDENCE
LINE49.5
PRICE-114
MARKET50.9%
VS MARKET+23.5%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
NO @ BAL TOTAL
UNDER 47.0
FORECAST 65.4%
65
CONFIDENCE
LINE47
PRICE-105
MARKET49.2%
VS MARKET+16.1%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE NOT ACTIONABLE - edge implausibly large, suspect data
JAX @ DEN TOTAL
UNDER 44.5
FORECAST 60.0%
60
CONFIDENCE
LINE44.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+9.8%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
PIT @ NE TOTAL
OVER 42.5
FORECAST 58.0%
58
CONFIDENCE
LINE42.5
PRICE-105
MARKET48.9%
VS MARKET+9.1%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
DET @ BUF TOTAL
OVER 53.5
FORECAST 57.5%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE53.5
PRICE-115
MARKET51.1%
VS MARKET+6.4%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
GB @ NYJ TOTAL
OVER 44.5
FORECAST 56.9%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE44.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+6.7%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
CLE @ TB TOTAL
UNDER 40.5
FORECAST 56.9%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE40.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.6%
VS MARKET+7.3%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
NYG @ LA TOTAL
OVER 48.5
FORECAST 56.8%
57
CONFIDENCE
LINE48.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.6%
VS MARKET+7.2%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
CAR @ ATL TOTAL
OVER 44.0
FORECAST 56.4%
56
CONFIDENCE
LINE44
PRICE-110
MARKET50.0%
VS MARKET+6.4%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE no weather forecast (outdoor venue); retractable roof unresolved
MIA @ SF TOTAL
OVER 45.5
FORECAST 55.6%
56
CONFIDENCE
LINE45.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.8%
VS MARKET+5.8%
TIER GOLD · INACTIVE
PHI @ TEN TOTAL
OVER 39.5
FORECAST 54.6%
55
CONFIDENCE
LINE39.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+4.3%
TIER SILVER · INACTIVE
IND @ KC TOTAL
UNDER 47.5
FORECAST 54.1%
54
CONFIDENCE
LINE47.5
PRICE-110
MARKET50.2%
VS MARKET+3.9%
TIER SILVER · INACTIVE
CIN @ HOU TOTAL
UNDER 46.5
FORECAST 53.1%
53
CONFIDENCE
LINE46.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.8%
VS MARKET+3.3%
TIER SILVER · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved
SEA @ ARI TOTAL
OVER 41.5
FORECAST 50.1%
50
CONFIDENCE
LINE41.5
PRICE-108
MARKET49.8%
VS MARKET+0.3%
TIER PASS · INACTIVE retractable roof unresolved

Per-market tabs exist because moneyline probabilities naturally run higher than spread and total ones, so a combined sort is dominated by heavy favourites.
Generated 2026-09-15 13:06 UTC by NFL-v1.1.