Every official prediction and how it turned out — one per game and market.
Confidence is the forecast probability and nothing else (probability × 100). "Model is N points higher/lower" describes disagreement with the market, not a recommendation or a stake. Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.
| Wk | Game | Prediction | Result | Forecast | Final | Market | Line | Price | Date | Input data quality | Predicted (CT) | Locked before kickoff | Model | Season |
|---|
* — input data quality was not recorded for predictions made before the data-quality check existed. Nothing has been filled in for them. Swipe the table sideways for every column.
One official prediction per game and market: the final valid pregame production snapshot. The pipeline runs several times a day, so the log holds many intermediate snapshots per game. They are preserved for research; only the official one is counted here, and selection is derived at read time, so no historical row is ever rewritten.
3 historical game/market combinations have no official prediction, because no forecast was written before kickoff. They are excluded rather than back-filled with anything computed after the fact.
372 rows in the archive were written after kickoff, all of them before v10, by the old date-based week rule that re-forecast games already played. They are preserved for audit and can never be selected as an official prediction. Under the current pipeline: 0; generated this run: 0.
All times are US Central and labelled. "Before kickoff" is measured from the official prediction to the game's real kickoff instant, in UTC, and must always be positive; anything else is shown in red as an integrity failure.
HIGH / DEGRADED / POOR describe the INPUTS that were available when the forecast was made, from cross-source verification. Rows written before that framework existed read "Historical / quality not recorded" — no quality has been inferred for them. This column has never been a betting or publishing state.
Official-snapshot rule: final valid pregame production snapshot. All times are US Central.
Generated 2026-11-05 23:48 UTC.