Every game and market this week, most likely outcome first. Confidence = forecast probability × 100.
Updated 5:47 PM CT · Week 9 · 45 picks · Odds live (updated 1 min ago)
Confidence is the forecast probability and nothing else (probability × 100). "Model is N points higher/lower" describes disagreement with the market, not a recommendation or a stake. Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.
Market: 80.0% · Model is 5.1 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects San Francisco ahead by 13.8 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 9.1 toward San Francisco; home field 2.1 toward San Francisco points.
Market: 50.0% · Model is 24.5 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 33.1 combined points. That is below the 42.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 11.2; red-zone play removes 1.2 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.8% · Model is 23.5 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Indianapolis ahead by 3.1 points. The spread threshold is a -5.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward Indianapolis; offense/defense matchup 1.7 toward Indianapolis points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 49.8% · Model is 24.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Jacksonville ahead by 1.3 points. The spread threshold is a -9.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 2.4 toward Jacksonville; home field 2.1 toward Baltimore points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.4% · Model is 20.7 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 45.8 combined points. That is above the 38.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: red-zone play adds 0.8; quarterback availability removes 0.8 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 81.2% · Model is 10.5 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Kansas City ahead by 7.2 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 8.5 toward Kansas City; turnover adjustment 2.5 toward NY Jets points.
Market: 49.8% · Model is 19.5 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 33.4 combined points. That is below the 40.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 9.2; red-zone play removes 2.3 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.0% · Model is 17.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Detroit ahead by 2.0 points. The spread threshold is a -7-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.4 toward Detroit; quarterback availability 2.5 toward Miami points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 78.6% · Model is 11.6 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Seattle ahead by 5.9 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 6.4 toward Seattle; quarterback availability 2.5 toward Arizona points.
Market: 48.9% · Model is 18.0 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 46.2 combined points. That is below the 51.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 1.3; pace removes 1.0 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 51.1% · Model is 14.9 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 44.6 combined points. That is above the 39.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 1.8; pace removes 1.2 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.4% · Model is 15.0 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Houston ahead by 0.3 points. The spread threshold is a -5.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 2.8 toward Houston; turnover adjustment 2.5 toward LA Chargers points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 49.8% · Model is 15.1 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Chicago ahead by 1.3 points. The spread threshold is a +6-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward Chicago; turnover adjustment 1.4 toward Tampa Bay points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 48.5% · Model is 15.6 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Philadelphia ahead by 1.6 points. The spread threshold is a -3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 3.2 toward Philadelphia; home field 2.1 toward Philadelphia points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.2% · Model is 13.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 48.5 combined points. That is below the 52.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 2.1; red-zone play adds 1.4 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 50.0% · Model is 13.3 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 49.4 combined points. That is above the 44.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 4.2; pace removes 0.9 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 60.0% · Model is 2.4 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects New England ahead by 4.2 points. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward New England; turnover adjustment 1.8 toward New England points.
Market: 50.2% · Model is 11.7 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects San Francisco ahead by 13.8 points. The spread threshold is a +9.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 9.1 toward San Francisco; home field 2.1 toward San Francisco points.
Market: 59.7% · Model is 1.9 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects New Orleans ahead by 3.9 points. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward New Orleans; offense/defense matchup 1.4 toward New Orleans points.
Market: 66.6% · Model is 5.2 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects LA Rams ahead by 3.8 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.9 toward LA Rams; home field 2.1 toward Washington points.
Market: 60.9% · Model and market agree
Why this pick: The model projects Buffalo ahead by 3.7 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 4.2 toward Buffalo; home field 2.1 toward Minnesota points.
Market: 50.2% · Model is 10.3 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Seattle ahead by 5.9 points. The spread threshold is a +8.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 6.4 toward Seattle; quarterback availability 2.5 toward Arizona points.
Market: 50.4% · Model is 9.8 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Kansas City ahead by 7.2 points. The spread threshold is a +10-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 8.5 toward Kansas City; turnover adjustment 2.5 toward NY Jets points.
Market: 50.4% · Model is 9.8 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 42.6 combined points. That is above the 39.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 1.8; red-zone play removes 1.0 points.
Market: 50.0% · Model is 9.4 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 55.3 combined points. That is above the 51.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 7.1; pace adds 1.4 points.
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 32.6% · Model is 26.6 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Indianapolis ahead by 3.1 points. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward Indianapolis; offense/defense matchup 1.7 toward Indianapolis points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 49.6% · Model is 8.8 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Cincinnati ahead by 0.3 points. The spread threshold is a -3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: red-zone play 0.9 toward Cincinnati; turnover adjustment 0.7 toward Atlanta points.
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 48.9% · Model is 9.4 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 51.6 combined points. That is above the 48.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 4.7; red-zone play adds 0.9 points.
Market: 50.0% · Model is 8.1 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 42.0 combined points. That is below the 44.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 2.1; pace removes 1.3 points.
Market: 57.4% · Model is 0.1 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Denver ahead by 2.5 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.1 toward Denver; home field 2.1 toward Carolina points.
⚠ No weather forecast yet (outdoor game)
Market: 50.4% · Model is 6.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 45.4 combined points. That is below the 47.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 2.3; red-zone play removes 1.6 points.
Market: 74.8% · Model is 18.7 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Detroit ahead by 2.0 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.4 toward Detroit; quarterback availability 2.5 toward Miami points.
Market: 49.8% · Model is 5.8 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 52.4 combined points. That is above the 50.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 5.8; red-zone play adds 1.6 points.
Market: 39.9% · Model is 14.9 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Philadelphia ahead by 1.6 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 3.2 toward Philadelphia; home field 2.1 toward Philadelphia points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.8% · Model is 3.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects New England ahead by 4.2 points. The spread threshold is a +3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward New England; turnover adjustment 1.8 toward New England points.
Market: 70.4% · Model is 16.6 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Chicago ahead by 1.3 points. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward Chicago; turnover adjustment 1.4 toward Tampa Bay points.
Market: 80.2% · Model is 26.3 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Jacksonville ahead by 1.3 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 2.4 toward Jacksonville; home field 2.1 toward Baltimore points.
Market: 48.9% · Model is 4.7 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects LA Rams ahead by 3.8 points. The spread threshold is a -4.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.9 toward LA Rams; home field 2.1 toward Washington points.
Market: 51.0% · Model is 2.0 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects New Orleans ahead by 3.9 points. The spread threshold is a +3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward New Orleans; offense/defense matchup 1.4 toward New Orleans points.
Market: 51.1% · Model is 1.3 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Buffalo ahead by 3.7 points. The spread threshold is a -3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 4.2 toward Buffalo; home field 2.1 toward Minnesota points.
Market: 51.9% · Model is 0.4 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Denver ahead by 2.5 points. The spread threshold is a -2.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.1 toward Denver; home field 2.1 toward Carolina points.
⚠ No weather forecast yet (outdoor game)
Market: 50.4% · Model is 1.3 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 47.1 combined points. That is below the 47.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: pace adds 2.4; offense/defense matchup removes 0.8 points.
Market: 49.8% · Model is 1.5 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 43.7 combined points. That is below the 44-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 0.7; red-zone play removes 0.5 points.
⚠ No weather forecast yet (outdoor game)
Market: 67.4% · Model is 16.4 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Houston ahead by 0.3 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 2.8 toward Houston; turnover adjustment 2.5 toward LA Chargers points.
Market: 60.2% · Model is 9.3 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Cincinnati ahead by 0.3 points. Largest recorded adjustments: red-zone play 0.9 toward Cincinnati; turnover adjustment 0.7 toward Atlanta points.
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 80.0% · Model is 5.1 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects San Francisco ahead by 13.8 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 9.1 toward San Francisco; home field 2.1 toward San Francisco points.
Market: 81.2% · Model is 10.5 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Kansas City ahead by 7.2 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 8.5 toward Kansas City; turnover adjustment 2.5 toward NY Jets points.
Market: 78.6% · Model is 11.6 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Seattle ahead by 5.9 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 6.4 toward Seattle; quarterback availability 2.5 toward Arizona points.
Market: 60.0% · Model is 2.4 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects New England ahead by 4.2 points. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward New England; turnover adjustment 1.8 toward New England points.
Market: 59.7% · Model is 1.9 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects New Orleans ahead by 3.9 points. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward New Orleans; offense/defense matchup 1.4 toward New Orleans points.
Market: 66.6% · Model is 5.2 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects LA Rams ahead by 3.8 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.9 toward LA Rams; home field 2.1 toward Washington points.
Market: 60.9% · Model and market agree
Why this pick: The model projects Buffalo ahead by 3.7 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 4.2 toward Buffalo; home field 2.1 toward Minnesota points.
Market: 32.6% · Model is 26.6 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Indianapolis ahead by 3.1 points. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward Indianapolis; offense/defense matchup 1.7 toward Indianapolis points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 57.4% · Model is 0.1 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Denver ahead by 2.5 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.1 toward Denver; home field 2.1 toward Carolina points.
⚠ No weather forecast yet (outdoor game)
Market: 74.8% · Model is 18.7 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Detroit ahead by 2.0 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.4 toward Detroit; quarterback availability 2.5 toward Miami points.
Market: 39.9% · Model is 14.9 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Philadelphia ahead by 1.6 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 3.2 toward Philadelphia; home field 2.1 toward Philadelphia points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 70.4% · Model is 16.6 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Chicago ahead by 1.3 points. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward Chicago; turnover adjustment 1.4 toward Tampa Bay points.
Market: 80.2% · Model is 26.3 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Jacksonville ahead by 1.3 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 2.4 toward Jacksonville; home field 2.1 toward Baltimore points.
Market: 67.4% · Model is 16.4 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Houston ahead by 0.3 points. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 2.8 toward Houston; turnover adjustment 2.5 toward LA Chargers points.
Market: 60.2% · Model is 9.3 points lower
Why this pick: The model projects Cincinnati ahead by 0.3 points. Largest recorded adjustments: red-zone play 0.9 toward Cincinnati; turnover adjustment 0.7 toward Atlanta points.
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 50.8% · Model is 23.5 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Indianapolis ahead by 3.1 points. The spread threshold is a -5.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward Indianapolis; offense/defense matchup 1.7 toward Indianapolis points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 49.8% · Model is 24.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Jacksonville ahead by 1.3 points. The spread threshold is a -9.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 2.4 toward Jacksonville; home field 2.1 toward Baltimore points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.0% · Model is 17.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Detroit ahead by 2.0 points. The spread threshold is a -7-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.4 toward Detroit; quarterback availability 2.5 toward Miami points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.4% · Model is 15.0 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Houston ahead by 0.3 points. The spread threshold is a -5.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 2.8 toward Houston; turnover adjustment 2.5 toward LA Chargers points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 49.8% · Model is 15.1 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Chicago ahead by 1.3 points. The spread threshold is a +6-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward Chicago; turnover adjustment 1.4 toward Tampa Bay points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 48.5% · Model is 15.6 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Philadelphia ahead by 1.6 points. The spread threshold is a -3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 3.2 toward Philadelphia; home field 2.1 toward Philadelphia points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.2% · Model is 11.7 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects San Francisco ahead by 13.8 points. The spread threshold is a +9.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 9.1 toward San Francisco; home field 2.1 toward San Francisco points.
Market: 50.2% · Model is 10.3 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Seattle ahead by 5.9 points. The spread threshold is a +8.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 6.4 toward Seattle; quarterback availability 2.5 toward Arizona points.
Market: 50.4% · Model is 9.8 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Kansas City ahead by 7.2 points. The spread threshold is a +10-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 8.5 toward Kansas City; turnover adjustment 2.5 toward NY Jets points.
Market: 49.6% · Model is 8.8 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Cincinnati ahead by 0.3 points. The spread threshold is a -3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: red-zone play 0.9 toward Cincinnati; turnover adjustment 0.7 toward Atlanta points.
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 50.8% · Model is 3.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects New England ahead by 4.2 points. The spread threshold is a +3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward New England; turnover adjustment 1.8 toward New England points.
Market: 48.9% · Model is 4.7 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects LA Rams ahead by 3.8 points. The spread threshold is a -4.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.9 toward LA Rams; home field 2.1 toward Washington points.
Market: 51.0% · Model is 2.0 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects New Orleans ahead by 3.9 points. The spread threshold is a +3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: home field 2.1 toward New Orleans; offense/defense matchup 1.4 toward New Orleans points.
Market: 51.1% · Model is 1.3 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Buffalo ahead by 3.7 points. The spread threshold is a -3-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 4.2 toward Buffalo; home field 2.1 toward Minnesota points.
Market: 51.9% · Model is 0.4 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects Denver ahead by 2.5 points. The spread threshold is a -2.5-point home margin. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup 7.1 toward Denver; home field 2.1 toward Carolina points.
⚠ No weather forecast yet (outdoor game)
Market: 50.0% · Model is 24.5 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 33.1 combined points. That is below the 42.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 11.2; red-zone play removes 1.2 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.4% · Model is 20.7 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 45.8 combined points. That is above the 38.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: red-zone play adds 0.8; quarterback availability removes 0.8 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 49.8% · Model is 19.5 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 33.4 combined points. That is below the 40.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 9.2; red-zone play removes 2.3 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 48.9% · Model is 18.0 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 46.2 combined points. That is below the 51.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 1.3; pace removes 1.0 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 51.1% · Model is 14.9 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 44.6 combined points. That is above the 39.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 1.8; pace removes 1.2 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.2% · Model is 13.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 48.5 combined points. That is below the 52.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 2.1; red-zone play adds 1.4 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 50.0% · Model is 13.3 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 49.4 combined points. That is above the 44.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 4.2; pace removes 0.9 points.
⚠ Model and market disagree by more than usual — treat with caution
Market: 50.4% · Model is 9.8 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 42.6 combined points. That is above the 39.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 1.8; red-zone play removes 1.0 points.
Market: 50.0% · Model is 9.4 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 55.3 combined points. That is above the 51.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 7.1; pace adds 1.4 points.
⚠ Roof open/closed not known yet
Market: 48.9% · Model is 9.4 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 51.6 combined points. That is above the 48.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 4.7; red-zone play adds 0.9 points.
Market: 50.0% · Model is 8.1 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 42.0 combined points. That is below the 44.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 2.1; pace removes 1.3 points.
Market: 50.4% · Model is 6.2 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 45.4 combined points. That is below the 47.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 2.3; red-zone play removes 1.6 points.
Market: 49.8% · Model is 5.8 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 52.4 combined points. That is above the 50.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup adds 5.8; red-zone play adds 1.6 points.
Market: 50.4% · Model is 1.3 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 47.1 combined points. That is below the 47.5-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: pace adds 2.4; offense/defense matchup removes 0.8 points.
Market: 49.8% · Model is 1.5 points higher
Why this pick: The model projects 43.7 combined points. That is below the 44-point total. Largest recorded adjustments: offense/defense matchup removes 0.7; red-zone play removes 0.5 points.
⚠ No weather forecast yet (outdoor game)
Production model NFL-v1.1, code code-961f12d. Forecasts are frozen NFL-v1.1 output; challengers run in shadow and appear on the Lab page only.
Post-kickoff rows generated this run: 0. Every row is checked against its own game's kickoff before it is written, and again when the official prediction is selected. Full archive accounting is on the History page.
Confidence is the forecast probability × 100, rounded; the exact figure is under Details. "Market" is the sportsbooks' no-vig probability for the same outcome. "Data: good / limited" summarises the input-data check (HIGH / DEGRADED / POOR).
Per-market filters exist because moneyline probabilities naturally run higher than spread and total ones, so a combined sort is dominated by heavy favourites.
A game is shown here only while it can still be forecast — strictly before kickoff.
Generated 2026-11-05 23:47 UTC by NFL-v1.1.